Axel has been described by fans as an irredeemable asshole, a big woobie who's head-over-heels in love with Roxas, and everything in between. I've seen people split into groups and argue whether Chain of Memories Axel or Kingdom Hearts 2 Axel is the "real" Axel. Now that 358/2 Days has finally filled in the connecting storyline, I think it's worth taking another look at whether the two "different Axels" are really all that irreconcilable.
Let's start with the basics. Axel's title, 踊る火の風 (odoru hi no kaze), as been translated into English as Flurry of Dancing Flames, but this doesn't quite capture the meaning of the original Japanese. The English title implies that Axel himself is fire, but the literal parsing of the Japanese phrase is dancing fire's wind - Axel isn't the fire itself, he's the wind that makes the flames dance. This is not just a bit of trivia for the linguophiles among you [1]. Axel's Japanese title is a perfect metaphor for his role and behaviour in the Organisation. He moves through the flames of betrayal and intrigue that consume the other Organisation members, making everyone dance to his tune but completely untouchable by their schemes - just as a breeze manipulates a fire without ever being burned. There's no doubt he can hold his own in a fight, but his real strength is psychological. Axel's a schemer, through and through, making him perfect for the job of assassinating traitors.
In modern, enlightened society it's considered ethically questionable even to assassinate an enemy leader to win a war. But in the ancient past assassination was recognised as a useful political tool - many Roman Emperors fell to assassins seeking to further their own agendas. Modern man eschews assassination solely for moral reasons; in a purely practical sense there's no disputing that it can be extraordinarily effective.
The Nobodies of Organisation XIII, lacking hearts and emotions, are equally bereft of the moral quandaries and attacks of conscience that humans are subject to. Axel's role in the Organisation - to be willing to kill even his closest comrades if the situation calls for it - would seem despicable to a human. But Axel, literally heartless, can carry it out with mental impunity. He doesn't care about the comrades he kills because he can't. He feels no remorse; his only concern is staying on his boss' good side to keep himselfsafe.
Of course, there is a little more to it than that. Because what we see in Chain of Memories clearly shows that that Axel doesn't just tolerate his duties, he enjoys them (inasmuch as a Nobody is capable of joy). But without the burden of guilt, why wouldn't he? One has only to consider the popularity of games like Grand Theft Auto, of characters like Light from Death Note or Dr. Gregory House, of all these fictional people who place themselves above and beyond societal restrictions, to realise that humans are intrigued by the concept of such freedom. Freedom from personal responsibility, or from the burden of morality. Take away remorse, and Axel is left only with the thrill of the game. The man is clearly tactically brilliant when it comes to manipulating others; of coursehe's going to revel in putting his abilities to the test.
Therefore when we describe Axel's character in Chain of Memories, we need to be careful with the terminology. Yes, he's a merciless and manipulative son of a bitch. But even so, he has no real malicious intent. He's heartless because he's literally without a heart, like all the others in the Organization. He's amoral rather than truly immoral, and therein lies the all-important distinction. He takes his satisfaction not from cruelty to others, but from excelling in his plotting.
Before I talk about Roxas, a brief aside. For the sake of argument, we have to assume here that Roxas in every practical sense has a heart. Whether or not it strictly resides in his body is up for debate, but ultimately irrelevant to this discussion; the point is that he can and does feel true emotion. He is the only member of the Organisation - Axel included - to express real concern over the fates of the members sent to Castle Oblivion. His fears for Axel's safety leave him constantly distracted during missions while his friend is away. When he tries to bring this up with others, they laugh him off - as does Axel upon his return, joking that Roxas couldn't possibly have been worried without a heart [2].
With 358/2 Days, we are finally shown the gradual development of Axel's personality from the arrogance of Chain of Memories into the desperation of KH2. And I admit that I've often complained about the pace of Days' storyline, but for all that I think there are way too many ice-cream scenes, through them we really do see the gradual changes that being in Roxas' company evokes in Axel. We see him gradually affected by Roxas and Xion's company, coming to truly consider the two of them as 親友 (shin'yuu) - a word usually translated as "best friends" that means a really close, true friendship.
The exact mechanism of this - as in the literal mechanism of how a Nobody can come to have friends - is questionable. And, in my experience, another sticking point amongst fans. It doesn't just apply to Axel, either. If one cannot feel emotion without a heart, how then does Saix exhibit rage? How do Vexen and Zexion display fear just before their deaths? In their last meeting, shown in Final Mix+, Axel asks Roxas whether he really has a heart - and whether Axel and Naminé really lack hearts [3]. We're never given an answer to this, and I have my own theory, but since it's purely speculative I'm going to stick to what we're told in-game.
In 358/2 Days we're told explicitly that Organisation members - with the exception of Roxas and Xion - all have memories of their past lives. According to Axel, this is where Nobodies' apparent emotions come from [4]. When a Nobody thinks about something that they know should make them fearful, their mind remembers what it's like to be scared. The same, I assume, applies for other emotions. Nobodies don't feel emotions, but so much of how we think and act is habitual rather than as a result of true feeling that their personalities remain even after they lose their hearts. As Axel says, "Even we Nobodies have things we don't want to lose." [5]The Organisation members' memories allow them to act as though they were human, even without hearts.
So in general terms, Organisation members retain personalities thanks to their memories of their previous lives. This is supported by the fact that Roxas, who lacks memories, is often referred to as absent-minded or "spacing out" early in 358/2 Days, and shows very little in the way of personality for his first several weeks as a Nobody, giving a lot of blank stares and repetitive responses. (In the 358/2 Days manga, he's shown as a totally blank doll who needs to be propped up in his chair.) Thanks to their memories, the Organisation members are still individuals, not mindless automatons. On the one hand we have Xaldin, who scorns the very idea of emotions as a weakness to be avoided, and actively seeks to suppress any semblance of feelings - he actually scolds the other Organisation members for acting as though they have hearts (Final Mix+).
And on the other hand, we have Axel, who in Saix's words ‘can't stand the emptiness of living without a heart'. More credence is lent to Saix's opinion by the recent revelations that the two were, if not friends, then at least partners or co-conspirators [6] - but it also works as a theory because it just plain fits all the evidence. Axel says in the 358/2 Days Secret Reports that hanging around Roxas evoked strong memories of what it was like to be human. While we can only guess at what Axel was like before he had a heart, his brashness and arrogance even as a Nobody hint at a strong, impassioned personality. He perfectlyfits the fire element stereotype - impulsive, extraverted, always on the hunt for excitement.
The loss of the ability to feel would undoubtedly hit such a person extremely hard; it's not surprising Axel would yearn for the ability to feel again. As Roxas gradually becomes Axel's strongest tie to the faux-emotions of his memories, he therefore also becomes the most important thing in Axel's life. Now that he has the illusion of humanity, Axel can't bear the thought of returning to the empty shell that he had been before; even the thrill of backstabbing power politics would surely pale in comparison. Moreover, reminded of what it's like to really feel, Axel can no longer carry out his duties with the blithe apathy he exhibited in Castle Oblivion. He admits in the Secret Reports that while he used to be able to lie effortlessly, lying to Roxas hurts. And there's a very telling line when he comes to force Xion to return to the Organisation - 嫌な役目はいつも俺だ (I always get the nasty jobs) [7]. Although his jobs have always been nasty, it's the first time he really admits it to himself - and he does so with obvious distaste.
In the end, it's only under physical threat of imminent extermination that Axel grudgingly agrees to go after Roxas - and even then he tries everything he can think of to bring Roxas back rather than destroy him. At this point Axel is still acting ultimately in his own interest, choosing his life over Roxas' - a minor strike against his character perhaps, but a lot of humans would make the same choice. Moreover, the decision clearly costs him. By the time he meets Sora in the path to the World that Never Was, Axel has reached a point where he's willing to sacrifice even his own life to save Sora's. His redemption is completed with one final attempt to recapture the human compassion he once had.
All this considered, I really can't see how Axel's shift in priorities from "whatever suits the Organisation and keeps me entertained" to "whatever keeps Roxas alive" is at all implausible. On the contrary, I think it makes him one of the most intriguing character arcs in this entire series. We're not talking about two separate Axels, we're talking about real, believable character development - and a fairly moving storyline besides. Saix may dismiss Axel's hunger to feel as weakness, but as Xemnas asks - wasn't something in Axel awakened thanks to that very 'weakness'?
[1] Something that is a bit of trivia for linguaphiles: in Japanese the expression 火遊び (hiasobi, literally fire-play) is idiomatically used to refer to wanton or fickle behavior and as a metaphor for immorality.
[2] Another note for the linguaphiles - the Japanese phrase here is 心配?俺たちノーバディは心は無いっての (Worried? We Nobodies don't have hearts.). The joke is that the word 心配 (worry) uses the character 心 (heart). Therefore, you can't worry without a heart. Axel actually makes a few heart-related puns during the game, but I digress. (In the English version, this dialogue was translated as, "Worried? Well, that's a neat trick, considering you haven't got a heart to feel with.")
[3] Axel: ロクサス - おまえには 心があるんじゃないか? いや 俺やナミネにも - 俺たちには本当に心は無いのか? (Roxas... you have a heart, don't you? And... do Naminé and I truly not have hearts?) I've seen this subtitled slightly differently on YouTube and feel the need to clarify the exact connotations of Axel's words. In his first question, he's implying that it's likely Roxas has a heart. In his second, he's wondering if it can really be true that he and Naminé don't.
[4] Japanese dialogue: Axel: 俺たちには怖いなんて感情は存在しない (Emotions like fear don't exist for us.) Roxas: でも... 今、俺は怖い (But... right now, I'm scared.) Axel: もし、おまえがそういう風に思うなら怖いってことを記憶のどこかが覚えているのかもしれないな (If that's the sort of thing you're thinking, it could be that you're remembering some part of your memories of fear.) English dialogue: Axel: "Scary? Scary's a feeling, man." Roxas: "Yeah, I know I can't feel, but... It's still a scary thought." Axel: "A thought, then. But not a feeling." Roxas: "Are you sure?" Axel: "Maybe you just remember what it's like to feel scared, and think you're feeling it now."
[5] English dialogue: "Everybody's got something they want to hang on to."
[6] Nomura confirmed in a recent interview that Axel and Saix knew each other before they were Nobodies, and had plans to overthrow the Organisation together.
[7] English dialogue: "Why do I always get stuck with the icky jobs?"
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